Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.012177 0.014837 0.018193 0.022838 0.029275 0.038162 0.051905
2025-02-16 0.008912 0.011855 0.016080 0.022926 0.034489 0.054958 0.099231
2025-02-23 0.007210 0.010119 0.014653 0.022822 0.038782 0.073444 0.177247
2025-03-02 0.005961 0.008663 0.013110 0.021736 0.040507 0.088614 0.284642
2025-03-09 0.005165 0.007725 0.012137 0.021265 0.043186 0.109379 0.495737
2025-03-16 0.004681 0.007199 0.011735 0.021752 0.048459 0.145917 1.095075
2025-03-23 0.004250 0.006682 0.011227 0.021820 0.052767 0.188096 2.697996
2025-03-30 0.003799 0.006061 0.010389 0.020855 0.053459 0.216993 6.097739
2025-04-06 0.003467 0.005611 0.009814 0.020364 0.055528 0.261453 22.578940
2025-04-13 0.003271 0.005391 0.009672 0.020948 0.062085 0.364251 3101.484313
2025-04-20 0.003170 0.005336 0.009873 0.022550 0.074516 0.607715 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003044 0.005214 0.009899 0.023670 0.086400 1.005097 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002826 0.004909 0.009513 0.023616 0.093909 1.567615 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002639 0.004648 0.009201 0.023761 0.103815 2.799094 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002464 0.004392 0.008852 0.023654 0.112594 5.234447 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002268 0.004067 0.008273 0.022514 0.112358 7.525451 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002120 0.003832 0.007896 0.022020 0.117330 14.583348 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002026 0.003707 0.007782 0.022531 0.133221 72.722192 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001926 0.003557 0.007577 0.022602 0.145824 1193.622590 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001800 0.003336 0.007150 0.021590 0.144508 46158.395338 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001701 0.003171 0.006855 0.021075 0.149109 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001645 0.003098 0.006811 0.021687 0.171747 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001621 0.003097 0.006973 0.023369 0.220655 NaN NaN